src/HOL/Probability/Distributions.thy
changeset 50419 3177d0374701
child 53015 a1119cf551e8
--- /dev/null	Thu Jan 01 00:00:00 1970 +0000
+++ b/src/HOL/Probability/Distributions.thy	Fri Dec 07 14:29:09 2012 +0100
@@ -0,0 +1,392 @@
+theory Distributions
+  imports Probability_Measure
+begin
+
+subsection {* Exponential distribution *}
+
+definition exponential_density :: "real \<Rightarrow> real \<Rightarrow> real" where
+  "exponential_density l x = (if x < 0 then 0 else l * exp (- x * l))"
+
+lemma borel_measurable_exponential_density[measurable]: "exponential_density l \<in> borel_measurable borel"
+  by (auto simp add: exponential_density_def[abs_def])
+
+lemma (in prob_space) exponential_distributed_params:
+  assumes D: "distributed M lborel X (exponential_density l)"
+  shows "0 < l"
+proof (cases l "0 :: real" rule: linorder_cases)
+  assume "l < 0"
+  have "emeasure lborel {0 <.. 1::real} \<le>
+    emeasure lborel {x :: real \<in> space lborel. 0 < x}"
+    by (rule emeasure_mono) (auto simp: greaterThan_def[symmetric])
+  also have "emeasure lborel {x :: real \<in> space lborel. 0 < x} = 0"
+  proof -
+    have "AE x in lborel. 0 \<le> exponential_density l x"
+      using assms by (auto simp: distributed_real_AE)
+    then have "AE x in lborel. x \<le> (0::real)"
+      apply eventually_elim 
+      using `l < 0`
+      apply (auto simp: exponential_density_def zero_le_mult_iff split: split_if_asm)
+      done
+    then show "emeasure lborel {x :: real \<in> space lborel. 0 < x} = 0"
+      by (subst (asm) AE_iff_measurable[OF _ refl]) (auto simp: not_le greaterThan_def[symmetric])
+  qed
+  finally show "0 < l" by simp
+next
+  assume "l = 0"
+  then have [simp]: "\<And>x. ereal (exponential_density l x) = 0"
+    by (simp add: exponential_density_def)
+  interpret X: prob_space "distr M lborel X"
+    using distributed_measurable[OF D] by (rule prob_space_distr)
+  from X.emeasure_space_1
+  show "0 < l"
+    by (simp add: emeasure_density distributed_distr_eq_density[OF D])
+qed assumption
+
+lemma
+  assumes [arith]: "0 < l"
+  shows emeasure_exponential_density_le0: "0 \<le> a \<Longrightarrow> emeasure (density lborel (exponential_density l)) {.. a} = 1 - exp (- a * l)"
+    and prob_space_exponential_density: "prob_space (density lborel (exponential_density l))"
+      (is "prob_space ?D")
+proof -
+  let ?f = "\<lambda>x. l * exp (- x * l)"
+  let ?F = "\<lambda>x. - exp (- x * l)"
+
+  have deriv: "\<And>x. DERIV ?F x :> ?f x" "\<And>x. 0 \<le> l * exp (- x * l)"
+    by (auto intro!: DERIV_intros simp: zero_le_mult_iff)
+
+  have "emeasure ?D (space ?D) = (\<integral>\<^isup>+ x. ereal (?f x) * indicator {0..} x \<partial>lborel)"
+    by (auto simp: emeasure_density exponential_density_def
+             intro!: positive_integral_cong split: split_indicator)
+  also have "\<dots> = ereal (0 - ?F 0)"
+  proof (rule positive_integral_FTC_atLeast)
+    have "((\<lambda>x. exp (l * x)) ---> 0) at_bot"
+      by (rule filterlim_compose[OF exp_at_bot filterlim_tendsto_pos_mult_at_bot[of _ l]])
+         (simp_all add: tendsto_const filterlim_ident)
+    then show "((\<lambda>x. - exp (- x * l)) ---> 0) at_top"
+      unfolding filterlim_at_top_mirror
+      by (simp add: tendsto_minus_cancel_left[symmetric] ac_simps)
+  qed (insert deriv, auto)
+  also have "\<dots> = 1" by (simp add: one_ereal_def)
+  finally have "emeasure ?D (space ?D) = 1" .
+  then show "prob_space ?D" by rule
+
+  assume "0 \<le> a"
+  have "emeasure ?D {..a} = (\<integral>\<^isup>+x. ereal (?f x) * indicator {0..a} x \<partial>lborel)"
+    by (auto simp add: emeasure_density intro!: positive_integral_cong split: split_indicator)
+       (auto simp: exponential_density_def)
+  also have "(\<integral>\<^isup>+x. ereal (?f x) * indicator {0..a} x \<partial>lborel) = ereal (?F a) - ereal (?F 0)"
+    using `0 \<le> a` deriv by (intro positive_integral_FTC_atLeastAtMost) auto
+  also have "\<dots> = 1 - exp (- a * l)"
+    by simp
+  finally show "emeasure ?D {.. a} = 1 - exp (- a * l)" .
+qed
+
+
+lemma (in prob_space) exponential_distributedD_le:
+  assumes D: "distributed M lborel X (exponential_density l)" and a: "0 \<le> a"
+  shows "\<P>(x in M. X x \<le> a) = 1 - exp (- a * l)"
+proof -
+  have "emeasure M {x \<in> space M. X x \<le> a } = emeasure (distr M lborel X) {.. a}"
+    using distributed_measurable[OF D] 
+    by (subst emeasure_distr) (auto intro!: arg_cong2[where f=emeasure])
+  also have "\<dots> = emeasure (density lborel (exponential_density l)) {.. a}"
+    unfolding distributed_distr_eq_density[OF D] ..
+  also have "\<dots> = 1 - exp (- a * l)"
+    using emeasure_exponential_density_le0[OF exponential_distributed_params[OF D] a] .
+  finally show ?thesis
+    by (auto simp: measure_def)
+qed
+
+lemma (in prob_space) exponential_distributedD_gt:
+  assumes D: "distributed M lborel X (exponential_density l)" and a: "0 \<le> a"
+  shows "\<P>(x in M. a < X x ) = exp (- a * l)"
+proof -
+  have "exp (- a * l) = 1 - \<P>(x in M. X x \<le> a)"
+    unfolding exponential_distributedD_le[OF D a] by simp
+  also have "\<dots> = prob (space M - {x \<in> space M. X x \<le> a })"
+    using distributed_measurable[OF D]
+    by (subst prob_compl) auto
+  also have "\<dots> = \<P>(x in M. a < X x )"
+    by (auto intro!: arg_cong[where f=prob] simp: not_le)
+  finally show ?thesis by simp
+qed
+
+lemma (in prob_space) exponential_distributed_memoryless:
+  assumes D: "distributed M lborel X (exponential_density l)" and a: "0 \<le> a"and t: "0 \<le> t"
+  shows "\<P>(x in M. a + t < X x \<bar> a < X x) = \<P>(x in M. t < X x)"
+proof -
+  have "\<P>(x in M. a + t < X x \<bar> a < X x) = \<P>(x in M. a + t < X x) / \<P>(x in M. a < X x)"
+    using `0 \<le> t` by (auto simp: cond_prob_def intro!: arg_cong[where f=prob] arg_cong2[where f="op /"])
+  also have "\<dots> = exp (- (a + t) * l) / exp (- a * l)"
+    using a t by (simp add: exponential_distributedD_gt[OF D])
+  also have "\<dots> = exp (- t * l)"
+    using exponential_distributed_params[OF D] by (auto simp: field_simps exp_add[symmetric])
+  finally show ?thesis
+    using t by (simp add: exponential_distributedD_gt[OF D])
+qed
+
+lemma exponential_distributedI:
+  assumes X[measurable]: "X \<in> borel_measurable M" and [arith]: "0 < l"
+    and X_distr: "\<And>a. 0 \<le> a \<Longrightarrow> emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> a} = 1 - exp (- a * l)"
+  shows "distributed M lborel X (exponential_density l)"
+proof (rule distributedI_borel_atMost)
+  fix a :: real
+
+  { assume "a \<le> 0"  
+    with X have "emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> a} \<le> emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> 0}"
+      by (intro emeasure_mono) auto
+    then have "emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> a} = 0"
+      using X_distr[of 0] by (simp add: one_ereal_def emeasure_le_0_iff) }
+  note eq_0 = this
+
+  have "\<And>x. \<not> 0 \<le> a \<Longrightarrow> ereal (exponential_density l x) * indicator {..a} x = 0"
+    by (simp add: exponential_density_def)
+  then show "(\<integral>\<^isup>+ x. exponential_density l x * indicator {..a} x \<partial>lborel) = ereal (if 0 \<le> a then 1 - exp (- a * l) else 0)"
+    using emeasure_exponential_density_le0[of l a]
+    by (auto simp: emeasure_density times_ereal.simps[symmetric] ereal_indicator
+             simp del: times_ereal.simps ereal_zero_times)
+  show "emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> a} = ereal (if 0 \<le> a then 1 - exp (- a * l) else 0)"
+    using X_distr[of a] eq_0 by (auto simp: one_ereal_def)
+  show "AE x in lborel. 0 \<le> exponential_density l x "
+    by (auto simp: exponential_density_def intro!: AE_I2 mult_nonneg_nonneg)
+qed simp_all
+
+lemma (in prob_space) exponential_distributed_iff:
+  "distributed M lborel X (exponential_density l) \<longleftrightarrow>
+    (X \<in> borel_measurable M \<and> 0 < l \<and> (\<forall>a\<ge>0. \<P>(x in M. X x \<le> a) = 1 - exp (- a * l)))"
+  using
+    distributed_measurable[of M lborel X "exponential_density l"]
+    exponential_distributed_params[of X l]
+    emeasure_exponential_density_le0[of l]
+    exponential_distributedD_le[of X l]
+  by (auto intro!: exponential_distributedI simp: one_ereal_def emeasure_eq_measure)
+
+lemma borel_integral_x_exp:
+  "(\<integral>x. x * exp (- x) * indicator {0::real ..} x \<partial>lborel) = 1"
+proof (rule integral_monotone_convergence)
+  let ?f = "\<lambda>i x. x * exp (- x) * indicator {0::real .. i} x"
+  have "eventually (\<lambda>b::real. 0 \<le> b) at_top"
+    by (rule eventually_ge_at_top)
+  then have "eventually (\<lambda>b. 1 - (inverse (exp b) + b / exp b) = integral\<^isup>L lborel (?f b)) at_top"
+  proof eventually_elim
+   fix b :: real assume [simp]: "0 \<le> b"
+    have "(\<integral>x. (exp (-x)) * indicator {0 .. b} x \<partial>lborel) - (integral\<^isup>L lborel (?f b)) = 
+      (\<integral>x. (exp (-x) - x * exp (-x)) * indicator {0 .. b} x \<partial>lborel)"
+      by (subst integral_diff(2)[symmetric])
+         (auto intro!: borel_integrable_atLeastAtMost integral_cong split: split_indicator)
+    also have "\<dots> = b * exp (-b) - 0 * exp (- 0)"
+    proof (rule integral_FTC_atLeastAtMost)
+      fix x assume "0 \<le> x" "x \<le> b"
+      show "DERIV (\<lambda>x. x * exp (-x)) x :> exp (-x) - x * exp (-x)"
+        by (auto intro!: DERIV_intros)
+      show "isCont (\<lambda>x. exp (- x) - x * exp (- x)) x "
+        by (intro isCont_intros isCont_exp')
+    qed fact
+    also have "(\<integral>x. (exp (-x)) * indicator {0 .. b} x \<partial>lborel) = - exp (- b) - - exp (- 0)"
+      by (rule integral_FTC_atLeastAtMost) (auto intro!: DERIV_intros)
+    finally show "1 - (inverse (exp b) + b / exp b) = integral\<^isup>L lborel (?f b)"
+      by (auto simp: field_simps exp_minus inverse_eq_divide)
+  qed
+  then have "((\<lambda>i. integral\<^isup>L lborel (?f i)) ---> 1 - (0 + 0)) at_top"
+  proof (rule Lim_transform_eventually)
+    show "((\<lambda>i. 1 - (inverse (exp i) + i / exp i)) ---> 1 - (0 + 0 :: real)) at_top"
+      using tendsto_power_div_exp_0[of 1]
+      by (intro tendsto_intros tendsto_inverse_0_at_top exp_at_top) simp
+  qed
+  then show "(\<lambda>i. integral\<^isup>L lborel (?f i)) ----> 1"
+    by (intro filterlim_compose[OF _ filterlim_real_sequentially]) simp
+  show "AE x in lborel. mono (\<lambda>n::nat. x * exp (- x) * indicator {0..real n} x)"
+    by (auto simp: mono_def mult_le_0_iff zero_le_mult_iff split: split_indicator)
+  show "\<And>i::nat. integrable lborel (\<lambda>x. x * exp (- x) * indicator {0..real i} x)"
+    by (rule borel_integrable_atLeastAtMost) auto
+  show "AE x in lborel. (\<lambda>i. x * exp (- x) * indicator {0..real i} x) ----> x * exp (- x) * indicator {0..} x"
+    apply (intro AE_I2 Lim_eventually )
+    apply (rule_tac c="natfloor x + 1" in eventually_sequentiallyI)
+    apply (auto simp add: not_le dest!: ge_natfloor_plus_one_imp_gt[simplified] split: split_indicator)
+    done
+qed (auto intro!: borel_measurable_times borel_measurable_exp)
+
+lemma (in prob_space) exponential_distributed_expectation:
+  assumes D: "distributed M lborel X (exponential_density l)"
+  shows "expectation X = 1 / l"
+proof (subst distributed_integral[OF D, of "\<lambda>x. x", symmetric])
+  have "0 < l"
+   using exponential_distributed_params[OF D] .
+  have [simp]: "\<And>x. x * (l * (exp (- (x * l)) * indicator {0..} (x * l))) =
+    x * exponential_density l x"
+    using `0 < l`
+    by (auto split: split_indicator simp: zero_le_mult_iff exponential_density_def)
+  from borel_integral_x_exp `0 < l`
+  show "(\<integral> x. exponential_density l x * x \<partial>lborel) = 1 / l"
+    by (subst (asm) lebesgue_integral_real_affine[of "l" _ 0])
+       (simp_all add: borel_measurable_exp nonzero_eq_divide_eq ac_simps)
+qed simp
+
+subsection {* Uniform distribution *}
+
+lemma uniform_distrI:
+  assumes X: "X \<in> measurable M M'"
+    and A: "A \<in> sets M'" "emeasure M' A \<noteq> \<infinity>" "emeasure M' A \<noteq> 0"
+  assumes distr: "\<And>B. B \<in> sets M' \<Longrightarrow> emeasure M (X -` B \<inter> space M) = emeasure M' (A \<inter> B) / emeasure M' A"
+  shows "distr M M' X = uniform_measure M' A"
+  unfolding uniform_measure_def
+proof (intro measure_eqI)
+  let ?f = "\<lambda>x. indicator A x / emeasure M' A"
+  fix B assume B: "B \<in> sets (distr M M' X)"
+  with X have "emeasure M (X -` B \<inter> space M) = emeasure M' (A \<inter> B) / emeasure M' A"
+    by (simp add: distr[of B] measurable_sets)
+  also have "\<dots> = (1 / emeasure M' A) * emeasure M' (A \<inter> B)"
+     by simp
+  also have "\<dots> = (\<integral>\<^isup>+ x. (1 / emeasure M' A) * indicator (A \<inter> B) x \<partial>M')"
+    using A B
+    by (intro positive_integral_cmult_indicator[symmetric]) (auto intro!: zero_le_divide_ereal)
+  also have "\<dots> = (\<integral>\<^isup>+ x. ?f x * indicator B x \<partial>M')"
+    by (rule positive_integral_cong) (auto split: split_indicator)
+  finally show "emeasure (distr M M' X) B = emeasure (density M' ?f) B"
+    using A B X by (auto simp add: emeasure_distr emeasure_density)
+qed simp
+
+lemma uniform_distrI_borel:
+  fixes A :: "real set"
+  assumes X[measurable]: "X \<in> borel_measurable M" and A: "emeasure lborel A = ereal r" "0 < r"
+    and [measurable]: "A \<in> sets borel"
+  assumes distr: "\<And>a. emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> a} = emeasure lborel (A \<inter> {.. a}) / r"
+  shows "distributed M lborel X (\<lambda>x. indicator A x / measure lborel A)"
+proof (rule distributedI_borel_atMost)
+  let ?f = "\<lambda>x. 1 / r * indicator A x"
+  fix a
+  have "emeasure lborel (A \<inter> {..a}) \<le> emeasure lborel A"
+    using A by (intro emeasure_mono) auto
+  also have "\<dots> < \<infinity>"
+    using A by simp
+  finally have fin: "emeasure lborel (A \<inter> {..a}) \<noteq> \<infinity>"
+    by simp
+  from emeasure_eq_ereal_measure[OF this]
+  have fin_eq: "emeasure lborel (A \<inter> {..a}) / r = ereal (measure lborel (A \<inter> {..a}) / r)"
+    using A by simp
+  then show "emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> a} = ereal (measure lborel (A \<inter> {..a}) / r)"
+    using distr by simp
+ 
+  have "(\<integral>\<^isup>+ x. ereal (indicator A x / measure lborel A * indicator {..a} x) \<partial>lborel) =
+    (\<integral>\<^isup>+ x. ereal (1 / measure lborel A) * indicator (A \<inter> {..a}) x \<partial>lborel)"
+    by (auto intro!: positive_integral_cong split: split_indicator)
+  also have "\<dots> = ereal (1 / measure lborel A) * emeasure lborel (A \<inter> {..a})"
+    using `A \<in> sets borel`
+    by (intro positive_integral_cmult_indicator) (auto simp: measure_nonneg)
+  also have "\<dots> = ereal (measure lborel (A \<inter> {..a}) / r)"
+    unfolding emeasure_eq_ereal_measure[OF fin] using A by (simp add: measure_def)
+  finally show "(\<integral>\<^isup>+ x. ereal (indicator A x / measure lborel A * indicator {..a} x) \<partial>lborel) =
+    ereal (measure lborel (A \<inter> {..a}) / r)" .
+qed (auto intro!: divide_nonneg_nonneg measure_nonneg)
+
+lemma (in prob_space) uniform_distrI_borel_atLeastAtMost:
+  fixes a b :: real
+  assumes X: "X \<in> borel_measurable M" and "a < b"
+  assumes distr: "\<And>t. a \<le> t \<Longrightarrow> t \<le> b \<Longrightarrow> \<P>(x in M. X x \<le> t) = (t - a) / (b - a)"
+  shows "distributed M lborel X (\<lambda>x. indicator {a..b} x / measure lborel {a..b})"
+proof (rule uniform_distrI_borel)
+  fix t
+  have "t < a \<or> (a \<le> t \<and> t \<le> b) \<or> b < t"
+    by auto
+  then show "emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> t} = emeasure lborel ({a .. b} \<inter> {..t}) / (b - a)"
+  proof (elim disjE conjE)
+    assume "t < a" 
+    then have "emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> t} \<le> emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> a}"
+      using X by (auto intro!: emeasure_mono measurable_sets)
+    also have "\<dots> = 0"
+      using distr[of a] `a < b` by (simp add: emeasure_eq_measure)
+    finally have "emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> t} = 0"
+      by (simp add: antisym measure_nonneg emeasure_le_0_iff)
+    with `t < a` show ?thesis by simp
+  next
+    assume bnds: "a \<le> t" "t \<le> b"
+    have "{a..b} \<inter> {..t} = {a..t}"
+      using bnds by auto
+    then show ?thesis using `a \<le> t` `a < b`
+      using distr[OF bnds] by (simp add: emeasure_eq_measure)
+  next
+    assume "b < t" 
+    have "1 = emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> b}"
+      using distr[of b] `a < b` by (simp add: one_ereal_def emeasure_eq_measure)
+    also have "\<dots> \<le> emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> t}"
+      using X `b < t` by (auto intro!: emeasure_mono measurable_sets)
+    finally have "emeasure M {x\<in>space M. X x \<le> t} = 1"
+       by (simp add: antisym emeasure_eq_measure one_ereal_def)
+    with `b < t` `a < b` show ?thesis by (simp add: measure_def one_ereal_def)
+  qed
+qed (insert X `a < b`, auto)
+
+lemma (in prob_space) uniform_distributed_measure:
+  fixes a b :: real
+  assumes D: "distributed M lborel X (\<lambda>x. indicator {a .. b} x / measure lborel {a .. b})"
+  assumes " a \<le> t" "t \<le> b"
+  shows "\<P>(x in M. X x \<le> t) = (t - a) / (b - a)"
+proof -
+  have "emeasure M {x \<in> space M. X x \<le> t} = emeasure (distr M lborel X) {.. t}"
+    using distributed_measurable[OF D]
+    by (subst emeasure_distr) (auto intro!: arg_cong2[where f=emeasure])
+  also have "\<dots> = (\<integral>\<^isup>+x. ereal (1 / (b - a)) * indicator {a .. t} x \<partial>lborel)"
+    using distributed_borel_measurable[OF D] `a \<le> t` `t \<le> b`
+    unfolding distributed_distr_eq_density[OF D]
+    by (subst emeasure_density)
+       (auto intro!: positive_integral_cong simp: measure_def split: split_indicator)
+  also have "\<dots> = ereal (1 / (b - a)) * (t - a)"
+    using `a \<le> t` `t \<le> b`
+    by (subst positive_integral_cmult_indicator) auto
+  finally show ?thesis
+    by (simp add: measure_def)
+qed
+
+lemma (in prob_space) uniform_distributed_bounds:
+  fixes a b :: real
+  assumes D: "distributed M lborel X (\<lambda>x. indicator {a .. b} x / measure lborel {a .. b})"
+  shows "a < b"
+proof (rule ccontr)
+  assume "\<not> a < b"
+  then have "{a .. b} = {} \<or> {a .. b} = {a .. a}" by simp
+  with uniform_distributed_params[OF D] show False 
+    by (auto simp: measure_def)
+qed
+
+lemma (in prob_space) uniform_distributed_iff:
+  fixes a b :: real
+  shows "distributed M lborel X (\<lambda>x. indicator {a..b} x / measure lborel {a..b}) \<longleftrightarrow> 
+    (X \<in> borel_measurable M \<and> a < b \<and> (\<forall>t\<in>{a .. b}. \<P>(x in M. X x \<le> t)= (t - a) / (b - a)))"
+  using
+    uniform_distributed_bounds[of X a b]
+    uniform_distributed_measure[of X a b]
+    distributed_measurable[of M lborel X]
+  by (auto intro!: uniform_distrI_borel_atLeastAtMost simp: one_ereal_def emeasure_eq_measure)
+
+lemma (in prob_space) uniform_distributed_expectation:
+  fixes a b :: real
+  assumes D: "distributed M lborel X (\<lambda>x. indicator {a .. b} x / measure lborel {a .. b})"
+  shows "expectation X = (a + b) / 2"
+proof (subst distributed_integral[OF D, of "\<lambda>x. x", symmetric])
+  have "a < b"
+    using uniform_distributed_bounds[OF D] .
+
+  have "(\<integral> x. indicator {a .. b} x / measure lborel {a .. b} * x \<partial>lborel) = 
+    (\<integral> x. (x / measure lborel {a .. b}) * indicator {a .. b} x \<partial>lborel)"
+    by (intro integral_cong) auto
+  also have "(\<integral> x. (x / measure lborel {a .. b}) * indicator {a .. b} x \<partial>lborel) = (a + b) / 2"
+  proof (subst integral_FTC_atLeastAtMost)
+    fix x
+    show "DERIV (\<lambda>x. x ^ 2 / (2 * measure lborel {a..b})) x :> x / measure lborel {a..b}"
+      using uniform_distributed_params[OF D]
+      by (auto intro!: DERIV_intros)
+    show "isCont (\<lambda>x. x / Sigma_Algebra.measure lborel {a..b}) x"
+      using uniform_distributed_params[OF D]
+      by (auto intro!: isCont_divide)
+    have *: "b\<twosuperior> / (2 * measure lborel {a..b}) - a\<twosuperior> / (2 * measure lborel {a..b}) =
+      (b*b - a * a) / (2 * (b - a))"
+      using `a < b`
+      by (auto simp: measure_def power2_eq_square diff_divide_distrib[symmetric])
+    show "b\<twosuperior> / (2 * measure lborel {a..b}) - a\<twosuperior> / (2 * measure lborel {a..b}) = (a + b) / 2"
+      using `a < b`
+      unfolding * square_diff_square_factored by (auto simp: field_simps)
+  qed (insert `a < b`, simp)
+  finally show "(\<integral> x. indicator {a .. b} x / measure lborel {a .. b} * x \<partial>lborel) = (a + b) / 2" .
+qed auto
+
+end